With their loss against T1 on Wednesday, Kwangdong Freecs are eliminated from the LCK 2024 Summer playoff race. They have had some good series throughout the split but fell off towards the end, consistently coming up short in more challenging games.

DRX were cut from chasing playoffs long ago and have not given us many reasons to feel excited about them. On Wednesday, they suffered their fourth consecutive loss against KT Rolster, failing to show any improvements in critical areas — namely their macro.

This is a clash between two teams with nothing left to fight for. But even if we consider that a win or a loss for Kwangdong Freecs doesn’t mean much, they are a far better side and a solid bet at $2.10 to sweep with top LoL betting sites.

Nongshim RedForce took down T1 on Friday and added a solid showing against Dplus KIA at the end of LCK 2024 Summer Week 8. While those are excellent results on paper, T1 and Dplus KIA played terribly, so we can not praise RedForce too much.

Gen.G seemed unstoppable until last week, when they fell to KT Rolster in a competitive three-map series. Although it was a painful defeat, the defending champions were far from disgraced.

Nongshim RedForce made their presence known last week, but they are still a bottom-tier team who will crumble against Gen.G. And knowing RedForce tend to get run over in their losses, taking under 23.5 kills for the opening map is a wise choice.

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KT Rolster have produced a very confusing mix of results over the last two weeks, with wins against Hanwha Life Esports and Gen.G and two defeats against OKSavingsBank BRION and Kwangdong Freecs. But as puzzling as they might be, those are the most on-brand results for KT Rolster, who perform well as huge underdogs and collapse as massive favourites.

Following this trend, KT Rolster do not inspire confidence at $1.14 with top LoL betting sites. Also, the new patch has introduced some volatility and shifts in the priority of champions, so it is fair to expect DRX to do better than expected.

DRX were blasted by Hanwha Life Esports in their previous outing, but that was primarily because of how HLE like to play. At 12.6 kills and 12 deaths per game on average, Hong “Pyosik” Chang-hyeon and co. are not as bloody and, hence, less likely to win with a higher kill margin.

Kwangdong Freecs lost a very competitive series against BNK FearX on Saturday, which puts them in danger of missing out on the LCK 2024 Summer playoffs. It was still a solid showing from KDF, who entered the series on a two-game winning streak after beating Nongshim RedForce and KT Rolster.

T1 swept OKSavingsBank BRION on Sunday, but they lost to Nongshim RedForce two days prior in one of their worst series of the entire 2024 season. Some of it had to do with the volatility that comes with a new patch, but it was not the first concerning game T1 have produced this split.

After what the LCK 2024 Spring runners-up have produced over the last few weeks, it is tough to justify backing them in this contest — especially considering Kwangdong Freecs will have side choice. A smaller position on KDF to win is worth a look, but it is hard to ignore plus money for the underdogs to win a map.

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Gen.G kept their winning streak alive on Saturday when they defeated T1 in two maps. It was another game which should not have ended with such a one-sided score, but we can give Gen.G props for their excellent defensive play.

DRX were smashed by BNK FearX on Saturday, proving once more they are not equipped to play at a high level. Their performance stats prove it, including the league’s lowest average kills per game (8.7), tower plates per game (2.84), and third-lowest dragons per game (1.58).

Assuming Gen.G don’t play with their food too much, they should steamroll DRX, which should result in a lower-scoring game. Under 23.5 total kills is a smart play.

KT Rolster achieved the unthinkable in LCK 2024 Summer Week 7 when they upset Hanwha Life Esports with a superb showing. But KT quickly proved how untrustworthy they are as favourites, losing 0-2 to OKSavingsBank BRION in the last round.

Kwangdong Freecs have looked very shaky over the first half of the split, but they found some traction last week with a 1-2 loss to Dplus KIA and a 2-0 sweep of Nongshim RedForce. There is some pulse with this squad, yet Kwangdong Freecs still have a lot more to prove.

KT Rolster are the stronger team, but at $1.33, they’re a bit overrated. Kwangdong Freecs will also have side choice, which makes them an appealing bet on the map handicap market.

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Nongshim RedForce took a map from KT Rolster on Sunday but still lost, marking their third defeat over a four-game stretch. Now, at 3-9, Nongshim RedForce likely will not see the playoffs, and there is little to suggest their run through LCK 2024 Summer will improve significantly.

Hanwha Life Esports’ seven-game winning streak came to a screeching stop on Wednesday when they were humiliated by KT Rolster. While that loss did sting, it does not suggest HLE are in danger of losing to Nongshim RedForce.

KT Rolster punished Hanwha Life Esports’ counter-punching playstyle, which Nongshim RedForce, with their macro, shouldn’t be able to do. With an average of 15.7 deaths per game, Nongshim will struggle to keep this game close.

Kwangdong Freecs lost all four series in the previous two weeks of LCK action, going down to OKSavingsBank BRION, Gen.G and twice to Hanwha Life Esports. The latter two are not that worrying, but Kwangdong Freecs have not looked very competitive in any of their games since the start of the split.

Dplus KIA lost another close game on Wednesday against T1, continuing a trend of playing exceptionally well only to fall short. This has become concerning, but their performance numbers remain very good.

Despite their shaky record against other elite teams, Dplus KIA are very efficient in beating lesser squads. LoL betting sites are paying $1.68 for the favourites to sweep, and it is an easy bet to take.

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Hanwha Life Esports kept their streak alive on Thursday when they defeated Kwangdong Freecs, securing their sixth consecutive victory. It was a clean performance, but it is not like defeating Kwangdong Freecs is a very impressive accomplishment.

Hanwha Life Esports are in great shape, but we know the deal with HLE and their record against stronger opponents. Most of Hanwha Life Esports’ strength comes from feeding off opponent’s mistakes – Dplus KIA are not the type to allow for that.

It makes little sense for LoL betting sites to have Dplus KIA priced as underdogs. They have looked just as good, if not better, than Hanwha Life Esports recently, and they already won this matchup earlier this split.

This is the eighth consecutive match in which Gen.G are priced at under $1.20, which at this point sounds fair. Gen.G have been on a roll since the start of the split, with an 11-0 series record and a 96% map win rate.

The only team who showed Gen.G can bleed were Dplus KIA last week, when they managed a perfect Map 1 only to get bodied in the final two. On the other side, Kwangdong Freecs are 5-6 and while they put up some fight against Hanwha Life Esports on Thursday, they are not a team you would expect to take down Gen.G. But there is another angle to look at.

Gen.G have averaged 23.8, and Kwangdong Freecs 21.5 total kills per game this season. Yet the kill line is set at 10.5, which is high for such a low kill total. Underdogs to keep it relatively close is the play.

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Kwangdong Freecs fell to new depths last Friday when they lost to OKSavingsBank BRION. It marked their fifth defeat of LCK 2024 Summer and their fourth over a five-game stretch. This is more than just a bad run, seeing how KDF have trailed at 20 minutes in over two-thirds of their series.

Hanwha Life Esports are on the opposite trajectory, having won their last five outings — including a 2-0 sweep of Kwangdong Freecs at the start of Week 5. HLE had a bit of a rough run earlier this split, but things have improved since they reverted to their old style.

Hanwha Life Esports should not be trusted when faced with competent squads. However, they shouldn’t be questioned when playing mid- and lower-table teams.

DRX have lost seven games in a row, and while they should have beaten Nonghsim RedForce, almost defeating one of the bottom teams does not sound too inspiring. Dplus KIA, on the other side, are 7-3 and fresh off a promising performance against Gen.G that included a perfect first map.

Dplus KIA are a very bloody team, averaging 15.6 kills over their 24 games. DRX have the league’s lowest average kill count at 8.9 and the fourth-highest deaths per game at 12.9.

Even though it is not common for teams to cover double-digit kill lines, Dplus KIA are too aggressive to believe DRX can keep the game close. The best esports betting sites have Dplus priced at $1.91 to cover 9.5 kills on both maps, which is a fair offer.

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Outside of winning a map from T1 and KT Rolster, OKSavingsBank BRION have not produced much, yet that’s enough to show them some respect. BRION are quite feisty as underdogs, and even though they rarely get over the finish line, their best performances tend to come when faced with stronger opponents.

Dplus KIA continue to sit on the verge of breaking into the elite few LCK teams, but they have looked good this split, so they will get there eventually. The real question is how much better Dplus KIA really are than OKSavingsBank BRION.

At $3.50, BRION are given just a 28.9% implied probability of taking a map on Wednesday, which is low for a team that nearly defeated T1 and will start the series on their map pick.

The two teams should be priced much closer than what LoL esports betting sites are offering for this match. And that is mainly because of how Hanwha Life Esports are built.

Hanwha Life Esports are extremely good at crushing weaker teams, but only because they are efficient in taking advantage of errors. Hanwha have never stepped away from this strategy, which explains why they struggle when faced with better teams.

Kwangdong Freecs are not top LCK contenders, but they’re very competent with few flaws, making them a formidable opponent for Hanwha Life Esports. At $3.59 with top League of Legends bookmakers, Kwangdong Freecs are way too cheap.

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Dplus KIA have lost just one series so far this split, against T1, and even that could’ve easily ended the other way. That was one of many impressive showings from this roster against a strong opponent, proving Dplus KIA have the capability to contest a top-three finish.

DRX are not at the same level as Dplus KIA, but they have produced some promising performances against elite teams. So, while they might not be able to take on Dplus head-on, DRX can capitalise on mistakes.

It’s often wise to explore first-blood markets in games with massive underdogs, as it’s very close to a coin flip. This is one of those games. Dplus are 4-3 in first blood in their last three series against weaker opponents, so at plus money, DRX to get their name on the board first is a solid pick.

The prices on Gen.G are getting ridiculous, and even though the reigning champions are 6-0 this split, giving them a 92.6% implied probability of beating Kwangdong Freecs is a bit too generous.

Gen.G have looked incredible so far in LCK 2024 Summer and seem to be on track to compete for the elusive Golden Road. However, one team will catch them sleeping at some point, and Kwangdong Freecs could be the side to do it.

Kwangdong Freecs are 4-2, largely thanks to their relatively easy schedule, but they played well against Dplus KIA and T1 at the end of June. It’ll take a lot more to win this, but with side choice and Gen.G likely feeling some fatigue from the stacked schedule, Kwangdong Freecs to take a map at $2.76 with the best esports betting sites is more than a fair offer.

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Instead of comparing the team’s raw quality and potential, the question for this LoL Champions Korea fixture is whether Hanwha Life Esports deserve to be priced as such massive favourites.

The teams have not made any significant roster changes since LCK 2024 Spring, so it’s fair to mention that Hahwna Life Esport swept OKSavingsBank BRION at the start of March. But this doesn’t mean they deserve to be given nearly 70% implied probability to sweep.

While an elite team, Hanwha Life Esports have a weird, counter-punching style of play, which usually works against weaker teams. But OKSavingsBank BRION have looked competitive so far this split, with two three-map series against DRX and Kwangdong Freecs.

OKSavingsBank BRION have looked better than expected this split, and while this doesn’t mean they have a realistic chance to defeat Hanwha Life Esports, BRION at $2.66 with the best esports betting sites to pocket a map on Friday is a very generous offer.

T1 are an elite squad and serious candidates to win the LCK 2024 Summer trophy. But at the offered price, we would be overpaying to see T1 defeat what looks to be a much-improved version of Kwangdong Freecs.

Even though T1 have Kwangdong Freecs’ number this season, with two 2-0 sweeps from the spring split, Kwangdong Freecs are in good form. They’ve beaten KT Rolster, OKSavingsBank BRION and Nongshim RedForce without problems.

While clearly a competent team, Kwangdong Freecs have random games where they look asleep. But they’ve produced just as many elite-level performances.

Kwangdong Freecs can be a bit inconsistent, but this number is too good to ignore.

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Kwangdong Freecs picked up two important victories against KT Rolster and OKSavingsBank BRION last week. They needed all three maps to defeat BRION and looked very questionable on Map 2, but Kwangdong were dominant on the first and third maps.

Nongshim RedForce have yet to taste victory this split, and according to the esports betting sites, they’re unlikely to get their name on the board on Wednesday. They had a shaky showing against FearX on the opening day and failed to accomplish much in their game against T1.

RedForce had their moments against T1 and held on relatively well. And while most of it had to do with T1’s sloppy plays, Nongshim showed they’re not afraid to fight.

Kwangdong Freecs are the better team, but they seem a bit inconsistent and won’t have side choice for this series. The favourites should win, but we like Nongshim RedForce with a map advantage.

After sweeping Nongshim RedForce in their opening match of LoL Champions Korea 2024 Summer, T1 suffered their third head-to-head defeat against Gen.G this season. The game ended in two maps, but the score doesn’t tell the whole story.

Both maps were extremely close to ending in T1’s favour — especially the second map, where Lee “Gumayusi” Min-hyeong was a couple of auto attacks away from closing out the game. That’s not to say Gen.G are weaker than T1, but rather that T1 are much closer to the Mid-Season Invitational 2024 champions than it might seem.

Dplus KIA have been doing well this split. They needed three maps to make it past Hanwha Life Esports and KT Rolster, which isn’t something to celebrate too much; however, they are in excellent form and look capable of causing problems for any team they face.

Dplus KIA are slowly creeping into the elite few LCK teams, and they’ll get there if they can keep up the pace. Although still weaker than T1, Dplus have shown great things last split and early into LCK 2024 Summer, which makes it easy to believe we’ll see a competitive series.

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