JD GAMING vs LNG ESPORTS LoL BETTING & MATCH DETAILS

JD Gaming will face LNG Esports this Thursday to decide who advances to the penultimate round of the League of Legends Pro League (LPL) Summer Playoffs.

LNG made it past Weibo Gaming (3-2) on Tuesday and reached the double-elimination stage, where it’ll get much more difficult for Lee “Scout” Ye-chan and his crew to keep getting away with their inconsistency in the mid-late game. JD Gaming have proven to be a level above any other LPL team besides Bilibili Gaming, so the $1.28 price tag is justifiable.

And it’s not only that JDG are better than LNG Esports; it’s also that LNG didn’t look good in their win against Weibo Gaming. The whole game was a mess, with both teams making questionable plays, and had just one teamfight ended differently, Weibo would’ve won.

JD Gaming haven’t played a game since the regular season, but that benefits them as they have plenty of film to look over. Still, any significant preparation won’t be needed here, mainly because JDG stylistically match up nicely with LNG Esports.

LNG Esports rely a lot on getting ahead early, which will be extremely difficult to achieve against JD Gaming, who have held a gold lead at 15 minutes in nearly 85% of all maps they’ve played this split. That was noticeable in JDG’s 2-1 victory over LNG during the regular season, which was achieved through pressuring their opponents early and slowly choking them out.

JD Gaming have a straightforward win condition – they have to play their own game. LNG Esports must hope that their foes slip. We’ll give LNG one map, but this is JDG’s game to lose.

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BILIBILI GAMING vs TOP ESPORTS LoL BETTING & MATCH DETAILS

?Bilibili Gaming and Top Esports will meet on Wednesday, July 26, in the League of Legends Pro League (LPL) 2023 Summer Playoffs. These two last met in the regular season’s penultimate week, when Bilibili won 2-0 with +12.1 and +14.5 gold leads.

Bilibili Gaming are the LPL 2023 Summer regular season champions and the best-performing team in the league. They rank top three across all performance metrics and are very efficient in closing out games – a 92.9% success rate in matches where they lead at 20 minutes. Moreover, BLG have a 90% win rate in games with side selection.

Top Esports aren’t a bad team, and as they’ve proven this season, they can play at a very high level. However, they’re also very inconsistent, and their 3-2 loss against EDward Gaming on Monday wasn’t very inspiring.

Top Esports can have their moments, and considering all the talent on this team, they should never be written off. Still, TES haven’t looked very good when faced with tougher opponents this season, and they’re prone to making mistakes, which Bilibili Gaming will punish.

Clean sweeps aren’t that common in the latter stages of the LPL playoffs, but knowing how easily Top Esports can collapse, Bilibili to win with at least two maps to spare is the right choice.

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EDWARD GAMING vs TEAM WE LoL BETTING & MATCH DETAILS

?EDward Gaming and Team WE will cross swords on Thursday, July 20, in the first round of League of Legends Pro League (LPL) 2023 Summer Playoffs. It’ll mark their second meeting of the summer split and the first since July 1, when EDward Gaming won 2-1.

Team WE and EDward Gaming finished the regular season in eighth and ninth place respectively, just one point apart, and they’ve both struggled in the final stretch. EDward Gaming ended the regular season with two defeats against Weibo Gaming (0-2) and Oh My God (1-2), while Team WE have lost four straight against Royal Never Give Up (1-2), JD Gaming (0-2), FunPlus Phoenix (0-2), and Bilibili Gaming (0-2).

A four-game losing streak doesn’t look good, but Team WE deserve some slack since the final two games didn’t matter, as they had nothing left to fight for. So as bad as their loss against FunPlus Phoenix looks, we shouldn’t focus much on it.

That defeat is likely the main reason why Team WE are priced as underdogs for this match, since it’s tough to say that EDward Gaming have looked any better this split. These two teams have very similar performance metrics, and it’s hard to justify saying one is better than the other.

The market is still very bullish on EDward Gaming, as it has been this entire split, but this looks like a 50-50 match at best. Team WE at the offered LPL betting odds is an excellent value bet.

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?Invictus Gaming were eliminated from the LPL Summer playoff race on Monday when Ninjas in Pyjamas defeated Rare Atom. Their next opponents, Weibo Gaming, are guaranteed a top-10 finish and now only play for the seeding.

Weibo won’t end the season inside the top four, but they still need to win a couple more games to be guaranteed top six. So unlike Invictus, WBG have something to fight for.

This might sound like a good reason to back Weibo Gaming. Still, the LPL is notorious for unpredictable results once the playoff teams are decided, and this is already an inconsistent team.

It would be typical of Weibo Gaming to lose this match, so a small bet on Invictus Gaming to win at $6.50 isn’t a bad choice. However, knowing how much more this match matters to WBG, a handicap bet on the outsiders is the smarter play.

?Oh My God and EDward Gaming will clash in a match that could decide which of the two teams will finish the season inside the top six and receive direct passage to the second round of the playoffs.

EDward Gaming enter this match on a two-game winning streak, with two shaky victories against FunPlus Phoenix (2-1) and LGD Gaming (2-0), while Oh My God are on a two-game slide with defeats against Top Esports (1-2) and ThunderTalk Gaming (0-2).

Oh My God haven’t shown their best lately, but over the entire split they’ve looked much more stable than EDward Gaming. This explains why OMG are priced as the favourites, but the odds are not great.

This is a match between two teams that can’t be trusted, so even though OMG are the most likely victors, the overs on the map line makes the most sense.

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Ultra Prime have been a good underdog team this split, but only when faced with bad favourites. Over their last four, UP have lost against EDward Gaming (1-2), JD Gaming (0-2), Oh My God (0-2), and Weibo Gaming (0-2), which doesn’t look good, but those are also very good teams, so it’s not like they had a realistic chance to accomplish more.

Top Esports are already guaranteed a spot in the playoffs and are now only playing for seeding. This might sound like TES don’t care how their games go anymore, but that isn’t necessarily the case since they can still lock in a top-four finish and a much easier road to the LPL Summer finals.

With just Ultra Prime and Anyone’s Legend left on their schedule, Top Esports should end the regular season 12-4. We’ve seen TES look like an elite team one day and then turn into a pumpkin the next, but even though we don’t know what we’re getting on Tuesday, it’s hard to expect anything but a dominant showing from Top Esports.

Oh My God are a competitive team, but their lack of consistency and their tendency to play down to an opponent’s level are concerning. This was very noticeable last week when OMG played well against Top Esports (1-2) but then lost to ThunderTalk Gaming (0-2). And if we look further back, they dropped maps against FunPlus Phoenix (1-2) and LGD Gaming (1-2).

Oh My God are not a team you would want to bet on as heavy favourites. But does that make Anyone’s Legend a good bet?

At $4.33 with GG Bet, Anyone’s Legend are given a 23.1% implied probability of winning. However, they have looked competitive even against stronger teams in the latter half of the regular season.

Betting on Anyone’s Legend with a map handicap isn’t a bad choice, but taking over 25.5 kills makes more sense. Since patch 13.12, the average kills per game in the LPL has risen significantly (around +3), and this is a match between two teams who aren’t afraid to fight. Both teams also suffer bad losses, so we can expect a bloody game regardless of the outcome.

Team WE’s split so far has been a rollercoaster, but their performance metrics are decent, so it’s tough to say what’s happening with this team. They crushed Top Esports (2-0), lost against LNG Esports (0-2), played a solid game against EDward Gaming (1-2), got humiliated by LGD Gaming (0-2), won against Rare Atom (0-2), and lost against Royal Never Give Up (1-2) on Saturday.

It’s hard to much from that run, but it’s fair to be cautiously optimistic about what Team WE can produce in the LPL Summer playoffs. However, even though Team WE have proven they can play solid League, they should be outclassed in this one.

JD Gaming are by far the best team in the LPL, and their shock loss against Invictus Gaming (1-2) on Sunday doesn’t change that. Some might see it as a sign of JDG not playing at 100% anymore, but they were due to lose one.

That defeat didn’t move the line one bit, and nor should it. JD Gaming need this win to secure a top-two finish, so expect a strong performance.

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The LPL betting odds offered on games between upper-table teams and bottom squads are getting absurd. That’s not to say that Ultra Prime have a realistic chance to defeat Oh My God, but $6.50 is pushing it a bit.

Oh My God have proved to be a very competent team, and with a 7-3 record, they’re in an excellent spot to lock in a top-six or even a top-four finish. On the other side, Ultra Prime are 4-7, which sits them right below the cutoff line, but more importantly, UP are also on a four-game losing streak.

This doesn’t necessarily mean a lot since Ultra Prime’s last four defeats happened against LNG Esports (0-2), Royal Never Give Up (0-2), EDward Gaming (1-2), and JD Gaming (0-2). Still, that run proves that UP are not cut out to compete against the LPL’s top teams.

Esports betting sites have set the kill line at 8.5, which is very high for how long scoring Oh My God are (12 kills per game), so we’re betting on whether OMG will have a perfect game. As good as OMG can be, this isn’t easy to accomplish.

Besides JD Gaming, Bilibili Gaming are a class above every team in the league, and we don’t have to look far to confirm it. They’re 11-1 with a 92% map win rate (22-6) which alone is a solid testament to this team’s quality, but more importantly, BLG haven’t struggled against any team besides JD Gaming. So how will Top Esports fare on Wednesday?

Top Esports are close behind the LPL frontrunners, with a 9-3 record which puts them in a good spot to compete for a top four finish. However, while Top Esports are very good, they’ve been extremely inconsistent, especially when faced with weaker teams.

Top Esports are good enough to do some damage against Bilibili Gaming, but it depends on how many mistakes they’ll make. There’s about a 50/50 chance Bilibili Gaming sweep, and at $2.37, that’s a good bet.

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Oh My God are a stronger team than FunPlus Phoenix and have won twice as many games this split, but $1.12 is very short. The main reason is that OMG tend to play down to their opponents.

That was very noticeable at the start of this week when OMG dropped a map (1-2) against LGD Gaming, who are just as strong as FunPlus Phoenix. We must also address the elephant in the room, FPX’s upset win against Weibo Gaming (2-1) on Tuesday, but one good result doesn’t make FPX a good team.

Oh My God are stronger and should win, but they’re not a team anyone should bet on when priced as heavy favourites. Take FunPlus Phoenix to win at least one map.

LNG Esports are very high on the LPL power rankings, and rightly so. This is a very stacked roster capable of contesting the LPL crown, but it’s hard to justify the latest LoL betting odds.

LNG Esports have high brand-value players, which might explain why the market is so bullish on them; however, they’re not that much better than Team WE. The latter have looked surprisingly good over the first four weeks and are arguably the current third-best-performing team in the league.

Team WE did lose against OMG (1-2) and ThunderTalk Gaming (1-2) last week, but if we look past that, they’re in a good spot. One minor issue is that Team WE have yet to be properly tested, which might explain the offered betting odds, but based on what they’ve shown on the Summoner’s Rift so far, WE have yet to disappoint.

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Ultra Prime are 4-5 this split, and while they’ve looked better than most bottom-half teams in the LPL, they’ve not produced much when faced with a good team. That was noticeable last week when UP lost against Royal Never Give Up and LNG Esports.

EDward Gaming are good but not great, and their recent showings don’t inspire much confidence. They’re not the same team that starred in LPL 2023 Spring, and while there’s a solid chance EDG bounce back, for the time being they should be treated as a mid-table team.

Still, EDward Gaming are $1.12 favourites with the best LoL betting sites, which mostly has to do with the brand value. Even though EDG are stronger than Ultra Prime, $2.25 on the outsiders to sneak a map is way too generous to pass on.

League of Legends betting markets are finally starting to realise that losing ADC Chen “GALA” Wei didn’t make Royal Never Give Up weaker. With a 5-4 record, RNG are still far from being considered one of the best LPL teams; however, they’ve played well against lesser opponents and have had their moments against the top dogs.

One minor issue with RNG is that their early game isn’t as dominant as it once was. Still, they rarely give away much when ahead, so as long as they don’t get stomped early, RNG are in a good spot.

Anyone’s Legend won against FunPlus Phoenix on Saturday, which improved their record to 2-7. But that victory doesn’t mean much, and it doesn’t change the fact that AL are one of the weakest teams in the league.

Royal Never Give Up are priced at $1.72 to sweep this series, which is a surprisingly good offer considering Anyone’s Legend don’t have the players or the macro to cause any problems to RNG.

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JD Gaming are expected to make easy work of Ninjas in Pyjamas on Tuesday. JDG are in exceptional form and have already won everything there was to win so far this season, while NiP have barely made any noise in LPL 2023 Summer.

With a 5-4 record, Ninjas are in a decent spot for their standards and look like they’re on the up. However, they only seem to do well against lesser squads.

Against better teams, Ninjas in Pyjamas have looked completely toothless, so expecting them to do well against the reigning LPL and Mid-Season Invitational champions sounds a bit too optimistic. JD Gaming to cover the kill handicap (10.5) looks appealing, but we’re getting the same price on under 24.5 kills – which, knowing that NiP haven’t seen more than 20 kills against EDward Gaming and Team WE, sounds like the best choice.

LPL 2023 Summer Week 5 continues with another one-sided affair as sixth-placed Weibo Gaming meet with 13th-placed FunPlus Phoenix. Despite their 5-3 record, Weibo come into this one as massive favourites.

Weibo Gaming’s only three defeats this split have come against Bilibili Gaming (1-2), Top Esports (1-2), and Oh My God (1-2). That isn’t too concerning, because they performed well in their losses and won against stronger teams such as JD Gaming (2-0) and LNG Esports (2-0).

With Weibo Gaming, there’s always a risk that they’ll fall apart – as they did against Bilibili – but that concern is only justifiable when they play one of the top teams. They are much stronger than FunPlus Phoenix and should close this game out quickly and with plenty to spare.

Invictus Gaming have not won a game since the first week of LPL 2023 Summer, and they haven’t even had a very tough schedule to fight through. Last week, IG showed little in their defeats to FunPlus Phoenix (0-2) and Rare Atom (0-2) – two very beatable teams.

Yet after struggling so much, Invictus Gaming won against LNG Esports (2-0) on Sunday, which turned everything we knew about them upside down. But does one upset win change the fact that Invictus have looked like one of the worst teams in the league?

Bilibili Gaming are the complete opposite. The LPL 2023 Spring and Mid-Season Invitational 2023 finalists look better than ever and enter the fifth week of the summer split with a 7-1 record. Their only loss came against JD Gaming (0-2), which is hardly surprising when BLG have yet to defeat JDG this season.

This is another David vs Goliath match which shouldn’t serve us with any surprises. Bilibili Gaming are significantly better than Invictus, and IG’s upset win on Sunday doesn’t change that. This is Bilibili’s game to lose, and due to their aggressive playstyle (15.4 kills per game), they are a fine choice to cover the 10.5 kill handicap.

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FunPlus Phoenix and LGD Gaming are two leading favourites to win LPL 2023 Summer wooden spoon, making this match much more important for both squads. LGD Gaming are 1-7 ahead of Friday’s affair, while FunPlus Phoenix are 2-5, but both teams have won their last outings.

LGD Gaming’s sole victory of the split came against Anyone’s Legend (2-0), which is hardly worth celebrating, but LGD looked good in that game. So even though LGD are not very strong nor in good form, they have the highest ceiling out of all LPL bottom-feeders.

FunPlus Phoenix defeated Invictus Gaming on Tuesday as 2.15 underdogs, which looks very good. Considering how inconsistent Invictus Gaming are – due to constant roster changes – that victory doesn’t improve our ranking of FPX, who are one of the worst macro teams in the league.

As a clash between two struggling squads, this can go either way; however, LGD Gaming have better players and the potential to achieve something by the end of the split.

As the defending LPL and Mid-Season Invitational champions, JD Gaming enter this top-of-the-table matchup as $1.44 favourites with the best esports betting sites. However, it’s easy to be blinded by JDG’s achievements over the year and ignore how good Top Esports have looked this split.

Top Esports have not lost a game since going down 2-1 to LNG Esports in the opening week of LPL 2023 Summer, beating EDward Gaming (2-1), Ninjas in Pyjamas (2-0), ThunderTalk Gaming (2-1), Weibo Gaming (2-1), FunPlus Phoenix (2-0), and Royal Never Give Up (2-1). They hold the same 7-1 record as JDG and enter this crunch clash on a seven-game winning streak.

Comparing the performance metrics, JD Gaming are slightly better than Top Esports, but the gap isn’t as big as the latest LoL betting odds might suggest. So even though JDG should be favoured, $1.44 is way too short of a price.

If Top Esports get side selection, expect the odds to move in their favour.

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